MCH ADVISORY RESEARCH
Ranking

Lowest Downside Probability

Smallest modelled probability of a negative return.

Ranking 480 of 481 covered names that have downside prob data — the remainder lack that field. Showing top 25.

#CompanyIndustryRatingDownside probUpdated
1Snap Inc. (SNAP)SNAPUncategorisedBUY+23.2%6 July 2026
2Everest GroupEGReinsuranceBUY+43.1%8 July 2026
3Host Hotels & ResortsHSTHotel & Resort REITsHOLD+45.1%8 July 2026
4ViatrisVTRSPharmaceuticalsBUY+45.4%8 July 2026
5APA CorporationAPAOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionBUY+45.8%8 July 2026
6KLA CorporationKLACSemiconductor Materials & EquipmentBUY+46.6%8 July 2026
7Skyworks SolutionsSWKSSemiconductorsHOLD+47.6%8 July 2026
8Constellation BrandsSTZDistillers & VintnersHOLD+47.6%8 July 2026
9GeneracGNRCElectrical Components & EquipmentHOLD+47.8%8 July 2026
10NvidiaNVDASemiconductorsHOLD+48.1%8 July 2026
11Steel DynamicsSTLDSteelHOLD+48.6%8 July 2026
12SupermicroSMCITechnology Hardware, Storage & PeripheralsBUY+48.6%8 July 2026
13Digital RealtyDLRData Center REITsHOLD+48.7%8 July 2026
14WeyerhaeuserWYTimber REITsHOLD+48.8%8 July 2026
15HasbroHASLeisure ProductsHOLD+48.8%8 July 2026
16Alexandria Real Estate EquitiesAREOffice REITsHOLD+48.8%8 July 2026
17MicrosoftMSFTSystems SoftwareHOLD+49%8 July 2026
18Builders FirstSourceBLDRBuilding ProductsHOLD+49.5%8 July 2026
19AT&TTIntegrated Telecommunication ServicesHOLD+49.6%8 July 2026
20AngloGold Ashanti (AU)AUUncategorisedHOLD+49.8%8 July 2026
21Royal Caribbean GroupRCLHotels, Resorts & Cruise LinesHOLD+49.9%8 July 2026
22LeidosLDOSDiversified Support ServicesHOLD+49.9%8 July 2026
23Target CorporationTGTConsumer Staples Merchandise RetailHOLD+50.8%8 July 2026
24NucorNUESteelHOLD+50.8%8 July 2026
25Norwegian Cruise Line HoldingsNCLHHotels, Resorts & Cruise LinesHOLD+50.8%8 July 2026

Other rankings: Top Upside · Most Overvalued · Largest Margin of Safety · Biggest Drawdown · Closest to 52-Week Low · Closest to 52-Week High · Lowest Forward P/E · Highest Forward P/E · Largest by Market Cap · Best Risk / Reward · Largest Margin of Safety (FV) · Highest Expected Return · Highest Quality · Widest Moat · Biggest House-vs-Consensus

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