Consumer Discretionary
101 companies under coverage across 25 industries.
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Consumer Discretionary companies
Yum! Brands Inc (YUM)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $149 (-5% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 70% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
YETI Holdings Inc (YETI)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $51 (+19% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 54% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Wynn Resorts Limited (WYNN)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $101 (+2% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 71% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Williams-Sonoma Inc (WSM)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $242 (+2% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 53% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Wingstop Inc (WING)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $142 (+21% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 61% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Whirlpool Corporation (WHR)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $37 (-9% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 71% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc (WH)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $113 (+52% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 72% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Valvoline Inc (VVV)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $39 (+18% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 55% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
VF Corporation (VFC)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $16 (+14% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 64% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Visteon Corp (VC)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $102 (+0% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 57% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Ulta Beauty Inc (ULTA)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $482 (-11% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 61% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Texas Roadhouse Inc (TXRH)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $198 (-3% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 66% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Tesla Inc. (TSLA)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $375 (+7% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 61% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Tractor Supply Company (TSCO)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $30 (-16% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 70% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Tapestry Inc (TPR)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $147 (+11% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 64% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Toll Brothers Inc (TOL)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $148 (+1% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 47% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Travel + Leisure Co (TNL)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $72 (-1% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 57% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
The TJX Companies Inc (TJX)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $155 (+10% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 64% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Thor Industries Inc (THO)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $75 (-6% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 65% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
SharkNinja, Inc. (SN)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $154 (-16% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 50% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Somnigroup International Inc. (SGI)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $69 (+7% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 63% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Service Corporation International (SCI)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $80 (-5% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 57% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Starbucks Corporation (SBUX)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $102 (-5% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 66% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Ross Stores Inc (ROST)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $211 (-13% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 56% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Ralph Lauren Corp Class A (RL)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $395 (+6% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 50% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
RH (RH)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $187 (+31% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 52% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $295 (+1% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 68% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Planet Fitness Inc (PLNT)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $54 (+1% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 67% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Polaris Industries Inc (PII)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $74 (+15% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 69% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
PulteGroup Inc (PHM)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $145 (+12% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 47% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Penske Automotive Group Inc (PAG)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $194 (-11% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 69% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
O’Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $86 (-5% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 53% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg (OLLI)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $67 (-13% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 51% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
NVR Inc (NVR)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $6680 (+4% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 52% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Nike Inc (NKE)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $43 (+5% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 77% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd (NCLH)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $20 (+16% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 66% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Murphy USA Inc (MUSA)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $612 (+8% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 71% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Vail Resorts Inc (MTN)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $177 (+18% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 64% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
MGM Resorts International (MGM)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $48 (+10% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 86% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
McDonald’s Corporation (MCD)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $264 (-3% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 82% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Mattel Inc (MAT)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $15 (+4% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 64% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Marriott International Inc (MAR)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $380 (+6% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 84% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Macy’s Inc (M)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $31 (+35% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 56% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Las Vegas Sands Corp (LVS)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $45 (-5% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 54% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Lululemon Athletica Inc. (LULU)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $109 (-11% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 65% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Lowe's Companies Inc (LOW)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $222 (+2% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 71% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Grand Canyon Education Inc (LOPE)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $152 (+3% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 73% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Lennar Corporation (LEN)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $96 (+9% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 80% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Lear Corporation (LEA)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $145 (+18% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 57% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Lithia Motors Inc (LAD)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $318 (-14% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 54% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
KB Home (KBH)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $54 (-3% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 58% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
H&R Block Inc (HRB)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $45 (-16% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 68% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Harley-Davidson Inc (HOG)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $28 (-2% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 46% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc (HLT)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $322 (-2% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 83% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $48 (+7% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 58% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
The Home Depot Inc (HD)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $352 (+4% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 64% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Hasbro Inc (HAS)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $87 (-9% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 60% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Hyatt Hotels Corporation (H)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $166 (-8% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 57% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Garmin Ltd (GRMN)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $242 (-17% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 73% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Genuine Parts Co (GPC)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $119 (-12% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 86% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Gentex Corporation (GNTX)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $24 (+0% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 60% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
GameStop Corp. (GME)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $22 (+20% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 59% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
General Motors Company (GM)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $75 (-14% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 64% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
The Gap, Inc. (GAP)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $25 (+20% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 64% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Floor & Decor Holdings Inc (FND)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $54 (-1% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 66% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Five Below Inc (FIVE)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $207 (-21% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 57% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Ford Motor Company (F)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $13 (-7% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 65% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Expedia Group Inc. (EXPE)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $272 (-20% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 77% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
eBay Inc (EBAY)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $108 (+1% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 74% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Darden Restaurants Inc (DRI)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $214 (-5% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 58% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Domino's Pizza Inc Common Stock (DPZ)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $290 (-17% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 48% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Dick’s Sporting Goods Inc (DKS)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $211 (+18% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 66% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
DR Horton Inc (DHI)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $163 (+9% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 50% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $102 (+11% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 63% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
DoorDash, Inc. Class A Common Stock (DASH)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $164 (-28% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 61% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Carvana Co (CVNA)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $66 (-9% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 63% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Crocs Inc (CROX)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $149 (+18% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 59% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Capri Holdings Ltd (CPRI)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $23 (+69% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 65% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Columbia Sportswear Company (COLM)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $62 (+3% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 66% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $33 (-14% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 50% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Chewy Inc (CHWY)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $22 (-12% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 63% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Choice Hotels International Inc (CHH)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $106 (-5% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 89% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $84 (-8% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 76% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Carnival Corporation (CCL)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $29 (+12% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 49% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Boyd Gaming Corporation (BYD)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $93 (+15% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 51% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
BorgWarner Inc (BWA)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $60 (-7% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 57% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Burlington Stores Inc (BURL)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $348 (+5% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 66% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Dutch Bros Inc (BROS)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $65 (+25% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 59% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Booking Holdings Inc (BKNG)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $174 (-18% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 81% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Brunswick Corporation (BC)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $78 (-4% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 65% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Best Buy Co. Inc (BBY)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $79 (-10% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 87% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Bath & Body Works Inc. (BBWI)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $29 (+52% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 64% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
AutoZone Inc (AZO)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $2963 (-2% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 51% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Aramark Holdings (ARMK)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $55 (-6% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 69% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Aptiv PLC (APTV)
BUY. 12-month probability-weighted target $63 (+32% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 72% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Abercrombie & Fitch Company (ANF)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $106 (-5% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 63% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
AutoNation Inc (AN)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $196 (+1% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 55% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Amazon.com (AMZN)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $247 (-6% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 66% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Autoliv Inc (ALV)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $115 (-7% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 58% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Airbnb Inc (ABNB)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $142 (-25% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 73% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Taylor Morn Home (TMHC)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $74 (+3% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 57% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.