Energy & Commodities
The oil & gas value chain and commodity-linked names.
Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $131 (-20% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 55% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Williams Companies Inc (WMB)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $59 (-17% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 70% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Weatherford International plc (WFRD)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $80 (-10% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 61% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Viper Energy Ut (VNOM)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $44 (-1% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 94% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Valero Energy Corporation (VLO)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $248 (-28% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 64% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Targa Resources Inc (TRGP)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $260 (-12% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 49% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $397 (+6% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 89% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Schlumberger NV (SLB)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $48 (-11% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 50% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Range Resources Corp (RRC)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $36 (-12% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 73% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Phillips 66 (PSX)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $172 (-29% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 73% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Permian Resources Corporation (PR)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $21 (-13% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 75% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
PBF Energy Inc (PBF)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $59 (-16% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 53% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $48 (-20% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 70% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Ovintiv Inc (OVV)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $59 (-11% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 66% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
ONEOK Inc (OKE)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $88 (-6% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 65% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
NOV Inc. (NOV)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $17 (-14% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 60% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $38 (+4% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 61% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Matador Resources Company (MTDR)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $50 (-12% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 71% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $237 (-35% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 50% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Kinder Morgan Inc (KMI)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $35 (+13% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 58% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Halliburton Company (HAL)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $33 (-4% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 54% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
TechnipFMC PLC (FTI)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $53 (-30% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 51% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Diamondback Energy Inc (FANG)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $180 (-13% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 77% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Expand Energy Corporation (EXE)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $85 (-11% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 63% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
EQT Corporation (EQT)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $51 (-6% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 74% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
EOG Resources Inc (EOG)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $132 (-12% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 76% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Devon Energy Corporation (DVN)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $42 (-13% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 75% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
DT Midstream Inc (DTM)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $144 (+14% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 86% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
HF Sinclair Corp (DINO)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $88 (-7% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 56% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Chevron Corp (CVX)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $174 (-14% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 58% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
ConocoPhillips (COP)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $103 (-23% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 66% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
CNX Resources Corp (CNX)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $32 (-13% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 62% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Baker Hughes Co (BKR)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $50 (-19% vs spot). Gross Margin explains 58% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Antero Resources Corp (AR)
SELL. 12-month probability-weighted target $33 (-13% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 69% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
APA Corporation (APA)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $40 (-7% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 72% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
Antero Midstream Partners LP (AM)
HOLD. 12-month probability-weighted target $24 (+7% vs spot). P/E Multiple explains 89% of Monte Carlo outcome variance.
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